Posted by Jason Apollo Voss on Aug 5, 2011 in Blog | Comments Off
Department of Labor figures demonstrate that in July jobs growth in the U.S. has finally taken off. Specifically, the economy added 117,000 non-farm jobs. This compares to economist expectations of only 75,000 jobs created.
By the way, in case you are wondering, the significance of the “non-farm” part is that farm work is seasonal. By stripping out agricultural jobs you get to... read more
Posted by Jason Apollo Voss on Aug 4, 2011 in Blog | 4 comments
Today the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 512.76 points, or 4.31%.
This moment of market turbulence is similar to, though not as severe as, the Great Recession’s big market decline of early March 2009. The primary similarity is that the “mood of the market” is one of nausea and near panic similar in proportion to what it was then.
The primary difference is that the global... read more
Posted by Jason Apollo Voss on Aug 3, 2011 in Blog | 2 comments
Here is an overview of some of the dynamics driving the sideways to down stock market this year:
Job creation remains anemic in the United States. Without new jobs there cannot be incremental spending in our consumer driven economy. Without incremental spending there is no sales growth and therefore no profit growth. So this is downward pressure on the markets – duh!
U.S. businesses... read more
Posted by Jason Apollo Voss on Aug 2, 2011 in Blog | Comments Off
This morning the U.S. Department of Commerce reported that consumer spending fell 0.2% in June. Meanwhile, consumer incomes rose 0.1%, and savings rose 5.4%.
All of these data suggest that the economic “game of chicken” between businesses and consumers that I have been talking about for well over a year is in restoration mode – not a good thing. Even though... read more
Posted by Jason Apollo Voss on Aug 1, 2011 in Blog | Comments Off
Yesterday saw a deal reached to raise the U.S. debt issuance limit, potentially averting a fiscal crisis. Here is my evaluation of the U.S. debt crisis deal.
Amount of the deal: $2.4 trillion in debt ceiling rise and $2.4 trillion in spending cuts
Debt ceiling is lifted in two stages:
Stage 1: spending cuts of $917 billion over 10 years
Stage 2: a Congressional committee of both 6... read more
Posted by Jason Apollo Voss on Jul 29, 2011 in Blog | 2 comments
One month ago there were simultaneous indications of an accelerating, and slowing, U.S. economy. Yesterday and today we have a similar situation with an improving jobs situation and a tepid reading on gross domestic product (GDP). The question: is the U.S. economy heading up or down?
First up, yesterday, the U.S. Department of Labor reported that weekly initial jobless claims fell by 24,000... read more
Posted by Jason Apollo Voss on Jul 28, 2011 in Best of the Blog, Blog | 2 comments
For today’s post I wanted to review the evidence for that oft talked about issue: who is more responsible for the U.S. debt? If you ask a Republican it is “tax and spend” liberals that are responsible for the bulk of the U.S. government debt. But if you talk with Democrats they ardently disagree. So who is right?
Well, like all things, it turns out that there are lots of... read more
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